Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Polymarket Trader
chadefe
0x2d981daa7e927a797cae37afedf9247442c4b354
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.03
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.7%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $10.46
- Potential payout
- $16.87
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
Ends Jan 18, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $11.02
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update