Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81.75
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Polymarket Trader
ders
0x2d9b6cb2ba5ef9ec4fed4895846f734a6fe1705b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.45
- Realized PnL
- $61.35
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $49.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.64
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.2
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3300 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Solana reach $180 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 29.6% 50 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 32% 50 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?No 70% 50 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?Yes 5% 50 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Yes 13% 99.98 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 56.1% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 16% 49.99 shares
- Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?No 32% 50 shares
- Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Yes 41% 40 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?Yes 2.1% 20 shares