Polymarket Trader

real8248

0x2db141264c22bd8ed8e5e9f3c7b61fd7a9ccf11b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12
Realized PnL: $68.13
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Jordan position

Spread: Algeria (-3.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Real Sporting de Gijón position

Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

CF Pachuca position

Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Girona FC position

Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Rosenborg BK position

Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Over position

Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Clara Tauson be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Algeria (-3.5)

Jordan 94% 12 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5

Over 91% 19 shares
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

Over 92% 11 shares
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)

Rosenborg BK 93% 19 shares
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)

Girona FC 93% 20 shares
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)

CF Pachuca 91% 17 shares
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

No 97.2% 912 shares
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 7.4% 430 shares
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 7.4% 639 shares
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

No 96.7% 978 shares
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 3.2% 620 shares
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

No 95% 341 shares