Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $3.86
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Polymarket Trader
we324334
0x2dc2407dbc7cb9087a3291f5f35abfdd8dbb33db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.78
- Realized PnL
- $140.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $1.88
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Y
Yes position
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Nuggets vs. Thunder
Ends May 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.15
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.78
Yes position
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Diamondbacks position
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Ripple above $2.40 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
NYC crime up this week?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Raiders position
Raiders vs. Saints
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Jaguars position
Titans vs. Jaguars
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Vikings position
Packers vs. Vikings
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Hero JiuJing position
Honor of Kings: Hero JiuJing vs KuaiShow Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 1 Group 3
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Utah position
Utah vs. Predators
Ends Apr 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Devils
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Capitals position
Senators vs. Capitals
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Pistons position
Bulls vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pelicans
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 88% 2.13 shares
- Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Yes 88% 1.8 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes 94% 1.69 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 84% 1.88 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 94% 2.07 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 86.3% 2.04 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 77.8% 2.03 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 79% 2.11 shares
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No 73% 2.44 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?Up 96% 1.85 shares
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $138 end of April?Yes 85% 1.74 shares
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 87% 1.87 shares