Polymarket Trader

0x2dc3D3B1eFb221dB512a79efcAA89d216A0A8dFb-1760033136573

0x2dc3d3b1efb221db512a79efcaa89d216a0a8dfb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $960.13
Realized PnL: -$1.91K
Win rate: 78.9%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$237.63

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$82.78

No position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $987.07
Potential profit: $987.07
User PnL: -$40

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $757.58
Potential payout: $757.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $257.58

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.98
Potential profit: $442.98
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $202.55
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $1.53
User PnL: $102.55

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.78
Potential profit: $191.78
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76K

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $675.42

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.82

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.66

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.83

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.33

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.47

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.08

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.63

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$63.7

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.45K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.81K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 49% 204.08 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

No 66% 757.58 shares
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

No 24% 250 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

No 11% 227.27 shares
Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Timberwolves 39.9% 250.33 shares
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 4.1% 987.07 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

No 20.9% 191.78 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

No 16% 439.81 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

No 7% 700 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

No 22.7% 439.81 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

No 90.8% 853.86 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

No 11.7% 853.86 shares