No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $42.14
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Polymarket Trader
Bladen706
0x2dc3e0ebc48cc34986b549bd21ec7ab853a0c3a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.14
- Realized PnL
- $18.47
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 81% 18 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 35 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 52% 6 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 28 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 17% 13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 29 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.6% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.8% 23 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.9% 72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 38% 25 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 67% 62 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 0.7% 45 shares