Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $914.38
- Potential profit
- $914.38
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
lolofrap
0x2dcd6e96399f076a6bdfd654407076302555f033
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.92
- Realized PnL
- $436.16
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $287.08
- Potential profit
- $286.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.86
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $172.37
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $90.79
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $72.37
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.04
- Potential profit
- $200.04
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.7%
- Current value
- $49.05
- Potential payout
- $170.92
- Potential profit
- $121.86
- Multiplier
- 3.48x
- User PnL
- -$50.95
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.48
- Potential profit
- $144.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $51.19
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $28.17
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $10.49
- Potential payout
- $56.7
- Potential profit
- $46.21
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.51
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $19.68
- Potential payout
- $32.83
- Potential profit
- $13.15
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.27
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.63
Yes position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.04
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.66
No position
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.56
Yes position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.9% 32.83 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Yes 44.1% 56.7 shares
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 13.8% 144.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 53.1% 37.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes 31% 32.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 87% 121.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.4% 681.82 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.3% 232.56 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.5% 299.54 shares