Polymarket Trader

Thrillofitall

0x2dcecb193daf0c313fa7575f250a7a639d93b793

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $293.74
Realized PnL: -$205.92
Win rate: 40.9%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.58K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$109.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $31.82
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$68.18

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $52.92
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $50.27
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$18.73

No position

US inauguration on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $44.98
Potential payout: $676.46
Potential profit: $631.48
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.87

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.33

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at his press conference?

Ends Aug 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" at his press conference?

Ends Aug 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fire" or "Fired" at his rally?

Ends Aug 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" at his press conference?

Ends Aug 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.29

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.78

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$8.23

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.86

Yes position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.81

No position

Will Trump say "Debate" at his press conference?

Ends Aug 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64.17

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$656.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 338.46 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 1,399.99 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 338 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 2,083.33 shares
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1% 2,500 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 2,857.14 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.4% 623.7 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 90.6% 89 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 31.7% 289.72 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 75% 113.16 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares