Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
KELBI
0x2df50477e68a95a28ff76233e8f770b9dd6557c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.1
- Realized PnL
- $655.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.26
- Potential profit
- $231.26
- User PnL
- -$6.46
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.31
- Potential profit
- $197.31
- User PnL
- -$37.27
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151
- Potential profit
- $151
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.36
- Potential profit
- $126.36
- User PnL
- -$34.3
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $51.02
- Potential payout
- $108.56
- Potential profit
- $57.54
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.52
- Potential profit
- $85.52
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $64.8
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$28.41
No position
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $640?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $58.04
- Potential payout
- $58.99
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.71
No position
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $650?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.95
- Potential profit
- $57.95
- User PnL
- -$11.36
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.79
- Potential profit
- $56.79
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.68
- Potential profit
- $54.68
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Yes position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $235?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.09
- Potential profit
- $46.09
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.72
- Potential profit
- $45.72
- User PnL
- -$8.45
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $45.42
- Potential profit
- $31.34
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $44.95
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 20 above $400?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.08
- Potential profit
- $43.08
- User PnL
- -$5.17
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 20 above $90?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $37.33
- Potential profit
- $24.08
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $8.77
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.69
- Potential profit
- $34.69
- User PnL
- -$9.02
No position
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $660?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.53
- Potential profit
- $31.53
- User PnL
- -$9.45
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $18.51
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.46
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.74
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.16
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15.09
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.63
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.85
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 6 above $250?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 6 above $245?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 69.4% 30 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 53% 33 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 72% 6.5 shares
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 8% 48 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 46% 31 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 32% 32 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 57% 30 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 36% 32 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 68% 4 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 69% 11.95 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 69% 13.8 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 22% 25 shares