Gard007

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $40.4
Potential profit: $38.54
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $22.73
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.19
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.22
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $24.04
Potential profit: $23.96
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $22.44
Potential profit: $21.68
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.04
Potential profit: $21.04
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.04
Potential profit: $21.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $20.61
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $19.17
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $19.1
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $19.81
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15.21
Potential profit: $15.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.87
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 10?