0x2df9846123020B713DF044C2de80658ad2ecEffb-1764940894320

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $238.66
Potential profit: $237.71
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $237.18
Potential profit: $235.05
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$10.23

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $44.21
Potential payout: $226.69
Potential profit: $182.49
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $139.77
Potential profit: $139
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.66

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $25.72
Potential payout: $135.38
Potential profit: $109.65
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $58.82
Potential payout: $105.98
Potential profit: $47.16
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $70.05
Potential payout: $80.01
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.01
Potential profit: $65.01
User PnL: -$24.58

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $34.52
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $18.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.91

No position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $8.88
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $6.23
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $1.57
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.58

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.12

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.42

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.82

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.25

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or higher on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.89

JD Gaming position

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.79

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.27

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 26?