Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.94K
- Potential profit
- $87.94K
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
Polymarket Trader
Bgf56
0x2dfea406909e8820581f7314a39f15fabdaa0a5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $176.67
- Realized PnL
- $24.53K
- Win rate
- 78.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.03K
- Potential profit
- $83.03K
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.99K
- Potential profit
- $56.99K
- User PnL
- -$3.49K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.33K
- Potential profit
- $22.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.49K
- Potential profit
- $20.49K
- User PnL
- -$953.45
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.21K
- Potential profit
- $9.21K
- User PnL
- -$640.68
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.13K
- Potential profit
- $9.13K
- User PnL
- -$103.01
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$965.58
Yes position
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $5.86K
- User PnL
- -$532.99
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$89.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.06K
- User PnL
- -$163.13
Yes position
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- User PnL
- -$293
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$253.3
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- User PnL
- -$657.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$399.28
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $114
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$186
Yes position
Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$144
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$165.24
No position
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$225
No position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $62.67
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$199.1
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$50.49
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$300
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.74
- Potential profit
- $637.74
- User PnL
- -$83.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.14
- Potential profit
- $440.14
- User PnL
- -$84.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.36K
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $831.2
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$257.63
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$487.2
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.72K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Yes 0.3% 1,284.8 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?Yes 2.4% 29.84 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?Yes 1.5% 4,490.51 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Yes 1.2% 4,501.98 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Yes 1.4% 146.06 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 15% 1,739.56 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 15% 1,400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 7% 4,400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 7% 4,400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?Yes 4.2% 1,202.14 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 6% 383.96 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Yes 9% 1,836.01 shares