Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$450
Polymarket Trader
ChadWWWong
0x2e01b5cbaec7f1491aa5a2201395c6efba3874d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $452.17
- Realized PnL
- $378.85
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$492.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Utah position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.12
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.43
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.64
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.23
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 9.7% 1,026.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 344.83 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 344.83 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 689.66 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,724.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 33% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 23% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 24% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Warriors vs. ClippersWarriors 58% 18.1 shares
- Warriors vs. ClippersWarriors 59% 19.51 shares