Polymarket Trader

223659

0x2e1377ffd320cbf28437416f5bbef525ea8579cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.8
Realized PnL: $5.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.28
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $81.72
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $18.42

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.84
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $12.78
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $89.06
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $11.09

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.84
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $13.39
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $88.45
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $100.56
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $96.18
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.58
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $100.67
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.28
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.58
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $87.73
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $12.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $94.96
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.92

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.16

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 96.7% 66.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 91% 64.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 94.5% 58.2 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?

Yes 99.9% 55.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 79.4% 50.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 99.8% 45.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 96% 44.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

No 97.2% 43.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 98.8% 42.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 92.5% 42.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

No 76% 39.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 56.1% 55.03 shares