Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $26.83
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
0x2e28...a712
0x2e283f998635e31840cab626aaa3edb8b5a6a712
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $93.62
- Realized PnL
- -$5.06
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $17.88
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $16.06
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $13.86
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.53
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.96
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$12.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.1% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.5% 15 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 19 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 17 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.5% 7 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 97% 12 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 81% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 56.2% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 43.9% 5 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 7% 29 shares