0x2E346A8C56F07ce0b566042E00f220b3E2599434-1765952748522

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $30.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $107.24

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $672.89
Potential payout: $805.85
Potential profit: $132.97
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $229.24

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $718.37
Potential payout: $802.65
Potential profit: $84.28
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $179.81

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $754.42
Potential payout: $784.23
Potential profit: $29.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $362.33
Potential payout: $762.8
Potential profit: $400.47
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$39.36

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $383.36
Potential payout: $759.14
Potential profit: $375.77
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $53.69

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $557.04
Potential payout: $636.62
Potential profit: $79.58
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35.31

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 in June?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $541.02
Potential payout: $636.5
Potential profit: $95.47
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.26

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $560.53
Potential payout: $609.27
Potential profit: $48.74
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $18.28

No position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $413.24
Potential payout: $598.99
Potential profit: $185.75
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$10.96

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $508.04
Potential payout: $524.29
Potential profit: $16.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $482.05
Potential payout: $500.83
Potential profit: $18.78
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.76

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $233.79
Potential payout: $482.04
Potential profit: $248.25
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$62.14

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $400.38
Potential payout: $468.28
Potential profit: $67.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $8.15

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $91.61
Potential payout: $452.37
Potential profit: $360.77
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$13.65

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in June?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $380.19
Potential payout: $424.79
Potential profit: $44.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $55.19

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $115.9
Potential payout: $392.87
Potential profit: $276.97
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.09
Potential profit: $386.09
User PnL: -$182.29

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $357.94
Potential payout: $374.02
Potential profit: $16.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $38.24
Potential payout: $364.17
Potential profit: $325.94
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $147.72
Potential payout: $355.95
Potential profit: $208.23
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$25.41

Yes position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $50.64
Potential payout: $349.24
Potential profit: $298.6
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $284.56
Potential payout: $319.73
Potential profit: $35.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $32.37

No position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $310.03
Potential payout: $312.53
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $48.56

No position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $224.11
Potential payout: $309.12
Potential profit: $85.01
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$11.55

No position

Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $300.38
Potential payout: $304.96
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $85.94

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $276.79
Potential profit: $270.7
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$22.74

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $260.02
Potential payout: $266
Potential profit: $5.99
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.18

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $192.75
Potential payout: $257
Potential profit: $64.25
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $116.03
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $138.98
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$57.38

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $222.17
Potential payout: $251.03
Potential profit: $28.87
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $212.77
Potential payout: $243.16
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $142.16
Potential payout: $243
Potential profit: $100.85
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $96.5

No position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $168.14
Potential payout: $241.96
Potential profit: $73.82
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in June?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $236.85
Potential payout: $241.93
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.23

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $213.66
Potential payout: $236.09
Potential profit: $22.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $215.19
Potential payout: $231.64
Potential profit: $16.45
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $14.53

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $222
Potential payout: $226.99
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $75.95

Yes position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $220.66
Potential profit: $215.37
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$48.25

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $85.83
Potential payout: $220.36
Potential profit: $134.53
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: -$72.57

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $20.59
Potential payout: $216.72
Potential profit: $196.13
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$28.63

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $204.72
Potential payout: $216.07
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $106
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $94
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$32

No position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $162.79
Potential payout: $197.32
Potential profit: $34.53
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $21.34

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $191.4
Potential profit: $179.44
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $117.2
Potential payout: $184.57
Potential profit: $67.37
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $9.03
Potential payout: $178.83
Potential profit: $169.8
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$34.94

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 31.2%
Current value: $55.4
Potential payout: $177.86
Potential profit: $122.46
Multiplier: 3.21x
User PnL: -$15.42

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $173.16
Potential payout: $175.89
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $44.76

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $165.33
Potential payout: $174.13
Potential profit: $8.79
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $55.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.33

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.32

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.28

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.73

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.78

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.55

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.09

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.17

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.3

Yes position

Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.17

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.15

Yes position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.7

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.73

No position

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.45

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.67

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.14

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.6

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.16

Yes position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.66

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.27

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.92

No position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.73

No position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.47

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.44

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.98

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.98

No position

Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.69

No position

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.77

No position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.45

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.04

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.08

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.98

No position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.92

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.66

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.39

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.16

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.47

No position

Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.26

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.76

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.12

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.27

No position

Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?