No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$5.76K
Polymarket Trader
STDgambler
@Stdgambler
0x2e4818113b183641c2b3f25ca6b4c962c57a95c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.8K
- Realized PnL
- $14.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$173.99
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$3.04K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $137.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
No position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $121
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $82.68
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$365.07
No position
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $76.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$52.51
Yes position
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$193.79
No position
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$96.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Poland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $784.49
- Potential profit
- $784.49
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606.06
- Potential profit
- $606.06
- User PnL
- -$15.15
N
No position
Will Guillermo Ochoa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $570.14
- Potential payout
- $598.88
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $497.77
- Potential payout
- $535.81
- Potential profit
- $38.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$385
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $744.63
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $674.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.36
Yes position
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
Yes position
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.26
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
Yes position
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.22
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.06
No position
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.79
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.75
No position
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.03
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.5
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.67
No position
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.41
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $329.41
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 528.25 shares
- Will Mikel Merino be in Spain's Starting 11?No 99.3% 153.35 shares
- Will Álex Grimaldo be in Spain's Starting 11?No 99.6% 114.67 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on June 15?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?Yes 0.1% 96.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?Yes 92.3% 287 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?No 92.8% 299.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?No 93% 200.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?No 11% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?No 14% 37 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 10?No 99.9% 110.15 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on June 8?No 99.3% 1.91 shares