pleasee1

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $8.48
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $7.32
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $8.07
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $6.37
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $7.83
Potential profit: $5.28
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.47
Potential profit: $7.47
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $6.48
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $4.66
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $1.84
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $6.24
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $6.23
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $2.34
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 23?