Polymarket Trader

0x2E6a5BfeB76cb28DF7D8d8601c8D2EF96E4e7155-1731899927543

0x2e6a5bfeb76cb28df7d8d8601c8d2ef96e4e7155

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $637.81
Realized PnL: $4.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $173.53
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.71K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$26.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.62K
User PnL: -$109.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$116.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $193.86
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $43.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$74.79

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $119.88
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$30.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $150.55
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $944.34
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$131.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$159

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$44.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $990.04
Potential profit: $990.04
User PnL: -$123.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923.78
Potential profit: $923.78
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $922.31
Potential profit: $922.31
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921.82
Potential profit: $921.82
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $564.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.21

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.43

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $237.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.89

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.96

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.54

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.17

Under position

Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.81

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.03

Over position

Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.68

Rangers position

Panthers vs. Rangers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.53

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.51

Avalanche position

Flames vs. Avalanche

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 1,181.1 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 1,271.19 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 1,094.89 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 810.81 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 5,882.35 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 63% 228.7 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 79% 575.61 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 87% 2.4 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 83% 2.65 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 68% 3.41 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 87% 2.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 89% 2.89 shares