Polymarket Trader

SRploy

@santiroy_28

0x2e6b1b0145094c8312b1149b24d57cb7bab313f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.01K
Realized PnL: $2.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $156.94
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$43.05

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $759.45
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $155.55

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $759.45
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$155.55

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $122.64
Potential profit: $121.48
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5.83

Yes position

Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots on target

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.4
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $30.26
Potential profit: $28.45
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $25.03
Potential profit: $24.95
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.28
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Don Deedson Louicius: 1+ shots on target

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $4.83
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $4.63
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $3.8
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.8

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.46

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.43

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.56

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.38

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.56

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.44

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Over position

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.5

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Royal Challengers Bangalore position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

KOLESIE position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-12.5) vs Leo Team (+12.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.19

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

No 14% 35.71 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 58% 105.26 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 105.26 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: POZY vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

POZY 0.1% 25 shares
Rainbow Six Siege: POZY vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

POZY 0.1% 150 shares
Will the announcers say "Knee" during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 56% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?

No 50% 20 shares
Breel Embolo: 1+ shots on target

Yes 0.1% 10 shares
Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots on target

Yes 0.1% 35 shares
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists

Yes 0.1% 9.76 shares