Polymarket Trader

0x2e72...e201

0x2e72a2f2b23e596b025185aa49f529aa2b9de201

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $73.26
Realized PnL: -$1.01
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.24
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $13.76
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.68
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $11.74
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $9.08
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.9
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.6%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

No position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.1%
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

China coup attempt before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 89% 10 shares
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

No 77% 5 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 88% 12 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 12% 11 shares
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 27% 5 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 46.4% 6 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 53.6% 11 shares
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

No 61.4% 9 shares
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Yes 38.6% 5 shares
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 93% 12 shares
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Yes 7% 15 shares
China coup attempt before 2027?

No 96.6% 9 shares