No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $249.9
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $14.98
Polymarket Trader
nolookme2000AAA
0x2e77e2dd2e6e657b788673176b7088f179636762
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.79K
- Realized PnL
- $6.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $484.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.25
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $454.97
- Potential payout
- $490
- Potential profit
- $35.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $436.47
- Potential payout
- $482.29
- Potential profit
- $45.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $45.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $972.85
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.02
India position
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $206
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.9
Bangladesh position
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.93
Celtics position
Warriors vs. Celtics
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.62
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.1
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.44
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.3
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.44
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.7
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
paiN position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.9
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.35
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.17
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.8% 490 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 92% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 95.1% 8.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 482.29 shares
- Will UK strike Iran by April 30?No 99% 149.45 shares
- Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?No 98.1% 54.73 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 93% 200 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 61% 49.6 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No 88.1% 58.37 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 74% 637.34 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 72% 20.22 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 80% 10 shares