Polymarket Trader

Hapdogg

0x2e8b2f45648ec1d3e791031e705026a6ecbaed36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.27K
Realized PnL: $8.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $394.66
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $94.66

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $494.92
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$495.83

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $124.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.19

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $311.18
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$688.81

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $945.83
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $95.83
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $445.83

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $843.16
Potential profit: $843.16
User PnL: -$292.16

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $330.36
Potential payout: $777.31
Potential profit: $446.95
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$169.64

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $753.75
Potential profit: $753.75
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588
Potential profit: $588
User PnL: -$294

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490.3
Potential profit: $490.3
User PnL: -$191.22

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $86.36
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $368.18
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$13.64

Raptors position

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $392.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $48.52
Potential payout: $277.23
Potential profit: $228.72
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$51.48

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.32
Potential profit: $264.32
User PnL: -$200

76ers position

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $143.99
Potential payout: $143.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $43.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.34

Michigan Wolverines position

Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.44

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.67

Over position

Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.61

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

No 94.7% 449.14 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 99.1% 447.76 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?

Yes 39.8% 753.75 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 67% 447.76 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 1,041.67 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

76ers 50% 200 shares
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Raptors 51% 392.16 shares
Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Raptors 27% 1,111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 89% 222.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 82.4% 239.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Up 39% 245.15 shares