Polymarket Trader

0x2e8e...5b53

0x2e8ee18b940a87270cd89b6a9f7870e0903b5b53

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.53K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $284.05
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $50.13

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $218.61
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$12.86

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $251.72
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$26.04

No position

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $118.74
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $233.12
Potential payout: $992
Potential profit: $758.88
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$44.64

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $92.57
Potential payout: $801.51
Potential profit: $708.94
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $11.62

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $108.06
Potential payout: $745.23
Potential profit: $637.17
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $36.11
Potential payout: $701.07
Potential profit: $664.96
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $85.19
Potential payout: $589.58
Potential profit: $504.38
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: -$19.16

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $26.67
Potential payout: $410.28
Potential profit: $383.61
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$22.57

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $72.25
Potential payout: $392.67
Potential profit: $320.42
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $74.87
Potential payout: $325.5
Potential profit: $250.64
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $73.03
Potential payout: $298.1
Potential profit: $225.07
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $52.78
Potential payout: $277.77
Potential profit: $224.99
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $157.17
Potential payout: $251.48
Potential profit: $94.31
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $38.98

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $93.45
Potential payout: $242.74
Potential profit: $149.28
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $97.95
Potential payout: $238.9
Potential profit: $140.95
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$14.33

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $42.7
Potential payout: $230.82
Potential profit: $188.12
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $27.14
Potential payout: $222.49
Potential profit: $195.34
Multiplier: 8.20x
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $93.92
Potential payout: $191.66
Potential profit: $97.75
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $89.7
Potential payout: $186.87
Potential profit: $97.17
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$5.61

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $33.89
Potential payout: $165.33
Potential profit: $131.44
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $37.33
Potential payout: $155.54
Potential profit: $118.21
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $126.74
Potential payout: $144.02
Potential profit: $17.28
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $61.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 65% 53.41 shares
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 10% 1,249.92 shares
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 8 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 45% 77.15 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 16% 61.11 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?

No 75% 46.29 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 18.9% 392.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?

No 61% 82.11 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 72% 48.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 69% 50.31 shares
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?

No 90% 38.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17.7% 172.77 shares