Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $771.62
- Potential profit
- $771.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Polymarket Trader
0x2e94...39af
0x2e947fe712a83629e22c56faa9211e74a89739af
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $26.37
- Realized PnL
- $3.42
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.99
- Potential profit
- $237.99
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C or below on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $108.26
- Potential profit
- $108.21
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.32
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $27.05
- Potential profit
- $27.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $19.35
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.11
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.63
- Potential profit
- $12.62
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Team Falcons position
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?Yes 88.3% 2.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?Yes 52% 1.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?Yes 61.5% 0.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?Yes 26.9% 1.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?No 99% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?Yes 26% 2.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 14?Yes 3.7% 27.05 shares