Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Polymarket Trader
0x2eab...fd33
0x2eab703870f2d3626313c338d71053a714e8fd33
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $41.64
- Realized PnL
- $30.84
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $8.45
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $7.62
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?Yes 26% 6.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 7.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.1% 7.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 38% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 6.05 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 74% 6.81 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 46% 9 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 22 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares