CaprioDiLeo

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.93
Potential profit: $541.93
User PnL: -$8.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $527.76
Potential profit: $527.76
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.94
Potential profit: $487.94
User PnL: -$12.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.76
Potential profit: $475.76
User PnL: -$30.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $353.24
Potential payout: $449.99
Potential profit: $96.75
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $303.85
Potential payout: $387.07
Potential profit: $83.22
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.72
Potential profit: $371.72
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242
Potential profit: $242
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $170.99
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.26
Potential profit: $195.26
User PnL: -$13.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.9
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $96.89
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.5
Potential profit: $87.5
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $82.58
Potential profit: $77.21
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $68.92
Potential profit: $68.06
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.39
Potential profit: $30.39
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $25.23
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.1
Potential profit: $20.1
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.71
Potential profit: $19.71
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $19.01
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?