Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $234.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.66
Polymarket Trader
Thedore
@dyxiIZLXDNEix3U
0x2ec875af988e49dd75b4846fe5791f7744ab4e6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.51K
- Realized PnL
- $86.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $64.97
- Potential payout
- $67.29
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.41
- Potential profit
- $19.41
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Solana reach $150 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No 96.6% 67.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86.3% 1,677.14 shares
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1,311.49 shares
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 1,311.49 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 96.5% 36.27 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89.1% 16.84 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 98.7% 1,345.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 72% 27.78 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No 99.3% 25.17 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 94.7% 27.46 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 99% 1,345.45 shares
- Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.7% 1,344.03 shares