No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $270
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $18
Polymarket Trader
AlphaPengu1n
0x2ecb34e1cb95b3c8d9d3e2905668d3eee03a7645
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.53K
- Realized PnL
- $35.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $43.11
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $144.61
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$40.47
No position
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$557.94
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $43.38
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Y
Yes position
Will USA win the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $30.2
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$5.72
No position
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $900.47
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $300.16
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $95.63
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $39.38
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $795.18
- Potential profit
- $792
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $754.83
- Potential profit
- $754.83
- User PnL
- -$39.47
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $289.38
- Potential payout
- $751.64
- Potential profit
- $462.26
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$15.67
No position
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.63
- Potential profit
- $689.63
- User PnL
- -$156.75
Yes position
Will Sai Sudharsan win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650.01
- Potential profit
- $650.01
- User PnL
- -$114.02
No position
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.01
- Potential profit
- $610.01
- User PnL
- -$137.38
No position
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $596.06
- Potential profit
- $596.06
- User PnL
- -$40.19
No position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.77
- Potential profit
- $550.77
- User PnL
- -$164.27
No position
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $343.88
- Potential payout
- $525
- Potential profit
- $181.13
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $47.63
No position
Will D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.99
- Potential profit
- $486.99
- User PnL
- -$280.15
No position
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.56
- Potential profit
- $486.56
- User PnL
- -$171.01
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $362.4
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $117.6
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$35.2
No position
Will La Rochelle win?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.2
- Potential profit
- $462.2
- User PnL
- -$89.05
No position
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.43
- Potential profit
- $459.43
- User PnL
- -$201.89
Yes position
Will Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.41
- Potential profit
- $449.41
- User PnL
- -$34.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94K
Under position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Nakamura position
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Drew Dober position
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Josh Hokit position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Under position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will PayPal say "Bank" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Rhode Island Rams position
Rhode Island Rams vs. VCU Rams (W)
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Anas Mazdrashki position
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs David Eichenseher
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
San Diego State Aztecs position
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs (W)
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Long Beach State Beach position
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Under position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Oliver Bonding position
ITF Lakewood: Nicolas Arseneault vs Oliver Bonding
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Riyadh Falcons position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
James McCabe position
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Under position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.9
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $981.19
No position
Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.44
Sakamoto position
New Delhi: Federico Cina vs Rei Sakamoto
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.6
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.6
Diego Lopes position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.3% 49 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.2% 20 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.1% 30 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 40 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 40 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 40 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 40 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 40 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 40 shares
- Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?No 71% 8 shares
- Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?No 71% 11 shares
- ITF Zhengzhou: Rina Saigo vs Tiana Tian DengTiana Tian Deng 84% 28 shares