No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $989.58
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $375.36
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$61.42
Polymarket Trader
PB2.KALININGRAD
0x2ee42afb041f0734f3f1dc3c64e529280c91fa88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $1.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $757.84
- Potential payout
- $762.42
- Potential profit
- $4.57
- User PnL
- $46.29
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.62
- Potential profit
- $99.62
- User PnL
- -$85.96
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$35.04
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.11
- Potential profit
- $51.11
- User PnL
- -$35.83
Yes position
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.85
- Potential profit
- $34.85
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
New Air Force One in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.1
- Potential profit
- $27.1
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.07
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $8.17
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1474.99 on December 31 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.77
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Yes position
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.74
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.36
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.98
No position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193.28
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.1
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.57
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.24
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.18
No position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.2
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 17 above $180?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.46
No position
Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.96
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.95
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.69
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.75
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.28
No position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.66
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.4
No position
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.07
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.47
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.33
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.86
No position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.83
No position
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.79
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 77% 1,364.94 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98% 1,044.54 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 92.1% 515.65 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 63.7% 55 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 96.7% 83.38 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 95.6% 163.38 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?No 78% 270 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No 99.2% 1,500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No 99.2% 1,692.98 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No 99.1% 1,684.57 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 99.1% 1,476.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No 98.2% 1,442.41 shares