Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $21.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $48.72
Polymarket Trader
Doom.kai
@Kai_foolguy
0x2eeb776eda584e32f7850a8681a8f461f223bd84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2K
- Realized PnL
- $11.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $643.42
- Potential payout
- $779.9
- Potential profit
- $136.48
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $310.81
- Potential payout
- $474.52
- Potential profit
- $163.71
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.84
- Potential profit
- $86.84
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $989.89
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.24
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.66
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.62
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.79
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.33
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.69
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.26
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.32
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.04
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.28
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.35
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.27
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.57
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.66
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 63% 74 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71.1% 400.52 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.9% 321.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 36.2% 116 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.9% 111.06 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 70 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.4% 210 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,077.48 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 48% 0.15 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 46% 0.38 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 48% 96 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 46% 106 shares