Polymarket Trader

PollWatcher

0x2ef9ca7f78f9427aff19cd56fc1ed7c8b64ed9b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.17K
Realized PnL: $395.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $11.87
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $33.55
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $67.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$58.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $960.26
Potential payout: $964.6
Potential profit: $4.34
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.03
Potential profit: $300.03
User PnL: -$3.07

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.38
Potential profit: $209.38
User PnL: -$98.41

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $193.2
User PnL: -$98.53

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.78
Potential profit: $125.78
User PnL: -$99.37

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.72
Potential profit: $114.72
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.46
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $80.58
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $17.79

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $100.03
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $99.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $99.68
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $100.03
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $100.03
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $89.48
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $100.03
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $84.98
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $13.39

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $99.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.31

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.9

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.76

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.68

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 99.6% 964.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 900 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.5% 900 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.2% 1,100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.6% 900 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 96.9% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.6% 657.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.3% 902 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99% 643.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 88.1% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.4% 422.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 94.8% 500 shares