Polymarket Trader

TOMDV

@TdvTom

0x2f0218c8b4ccf2cd3b5ce8d2a0e64ea778b3caee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.73
Realized PnL: $34.26
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.28
Potential profit: $23.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $16.09
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.58
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.55
Potential profit: $7.55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 2.33 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 46% 4.35 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 87% 2.3 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

37% 5.41 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 17.24 shares