Yes position
Will 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Screech2026
0x2f2c12f79f2eff03451dc37171d8e91a0411bc2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.79
- Realized PnL
- $740.36
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $9.79
- Potential payout
- $783.57
- Potential profit
- $773.78
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.82
- Potential profit
- $712.82
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $708.09
- Potential profit
- $708.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $638.29
- Potential profit
- $638.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.66
- Potential profit
- $590.66
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.78
- Potential profit
- $337.78
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.33
- Potential profit
- $335.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces Lisa Cook replacement by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.31
- Potential profit
- $232.31
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.14
- Potential profit
- $157.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.23
- Potential profit
- $148.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sydney Sweeney issue a statement about the American Eagle commercial by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.46
- Potential profit
- $129.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.8
- Potential profit
- $128.8
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.44
- Potential profit
- $108.44
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.91
- Potential profit
- $94.91
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.71
- Potential profit
- $90.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.74
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.53
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.46
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $21.39
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
John Bolton federally charged by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.3% 783.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.1% 454.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 7.7% 455 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 6.3% 250 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.1% 4,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.2% 4,500 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 4.6% 108.44 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 4% 250 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 6.5% 1,542.36 shares
- Will 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Yes 3.7% 2,675.02 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes 8% 1,250 shares