Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50.5
- Potential payout
- $101K
- Potential profit
- $100.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$457.43
Polymarket Trader
0x2f48C105a2002283311Caf7B04eD93a2e79F6f45-1773934436849
0x2f48c105a2002283311caf7b04ed93a2e79f6f45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $654.95
- Realized PnL
- $269.28
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $130
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $5.52K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$834.27
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $61.32
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$378.68
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $804.8
- Potential profit
- $804.8
- User PnL
- -$280.67
Yes position
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $108.96
- Potential payout
- $702.95
- Potential profit
- $593.99
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$70.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $478.67
- Potential profit
- $477.47
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $211.27
- Potential payout
- $444.77
- Potential profit
- $233.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $11.27
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.02
- Potential profit
- $341.02
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $34.47
- Potential payout
- $299.71
- Potential profit
- $265.25
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$65.53
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.15
- Potential profit
- $248.15
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $14.44
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $207.78
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$63
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.39
- Potential profit
- $175.39
- User PnL
- -$31.57
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $18.53
- Potential payout
- $161.11
- Potential profit
- $142.58
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.47
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.49
- Potential profit
- $130.49
- User PnL
- -$45.61
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $16.58
- Potential payout
- $127.56
- Potential profit
- $110.98
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$13.42
Yes position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $83.23
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.22
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.33
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.84
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.53
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$25.49
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 100,000 shares
- Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?Yes 21.6% 1,849.68 shares
- Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?Yes 6.8% 1,481.07 shares
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes 25.5% 702.95 shares
- Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?Yes 33.4% 299.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 45% 444.77 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 27.9% 1,431.94 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 79% 506.33 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 1.7% 1,195.66 shares
- Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Yes 34.7% 288.22 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes 8% 1,250.42 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 14.8% 168.83 shares