No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $39.8
- Potential payout
- $40.43
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Polymarket Trader
Fiorenzianna
0x2f5f7f23e961eab072bc6ab9ebedd5d5e5701767
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.8
- Realized PnL
- $26.16
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Solid position
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 94% 40.43 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?Yes 88.8% 16.89 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4?Yes 98.2% 25.46 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?Yes 18.8% 10.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 38.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?No 97% 34.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 98% 25.43 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 98.3% 25.43 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?No 97.8% 33 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?No 98.7% 33 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 91.5% 10 shares
- LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonTeam Solid 31% 25.88 shares