Polymarket Trader

0x2f61410e53341fE76F5eA178aF23c8B24Eb7a33b-1767645211548

0x2f61410e53341fe76f5ea178af23c8b24eb7a33b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $776.7
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $69.57
Potential payout: $921.52
Potential profit: $851.94
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $98.53
Potential payout: $542.86
Potential profit: $444.33
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $48.53

Yes position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $41.58
Potential payout: $415.79
Potential profit: $374.21
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$38.42

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $38.27
Potential payout: $402.83
Potential profit: $364.57
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$42.73

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $80.6
Potential payout: $394.31
Potential profit: $313.71
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$19.4

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $79.99
Potential payout: $341.11
Potential profit: $261.12
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $192.76
Potential profit: $192.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.9

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $25.89
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $152.68
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $99.23
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $54.62
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $100.7
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $40.14
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.7

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.69
Potential profit: $121.69
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $106.67
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $74.37
Potential payout: $102.59
Potential profit: $28.21
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $23.37

Yes position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.33
Potential profit: $93.33
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.21
Potential profit: $90.21
User PnL: -$43.3

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.92
Potential profit: $72.92
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.35
Potential profit: $71.35
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $39.56
Potential payout: $71.28
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$7.48

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $46.3
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.03
Potential profit: $43.03
User PnL: -$29.67

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $22.21
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$8.31

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $16.61
Potential payout: $27.68
Potential profit: $11.07
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$2.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.73
Potential profit: $11.73
User PnL: -$4.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.79

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.54

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.98

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.26

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.17

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.64

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.54

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.42

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.86

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.12

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.98

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.9

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.65

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.77

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.14

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.22

Yes position

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.48

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.48

Yes position

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 65% 153.85 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 71% 140.85 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 113.64 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 42% 92.59 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 44% 233.03 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 92.59 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 82.9% 120.63 shares
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Morocco 40% 125 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 115.38 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 121.69 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 139.53 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 68% 117.65 shares