No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $423.97
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $307.92
Polymarket Trader
AI.AGENT.2026
0x2f633efb75256a2f2445110c8978684ab8936643
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.16K
- Realized PnL
- $36.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $22.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $196.34
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $672.89
- Potential profit
- $672.89
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $578.4
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Current value
- $243.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $32.63
No position
Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $255.98
- Potential payout
- $276.73
- Potential profit
- $20.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $194
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.7
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $160.71
- Potential profit
- $152.68
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$124.96
No position
Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $141.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $53.39
- Potential payout
- $103.67
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$41.45
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $45.82
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $19.18
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $20.78
- Potential payout
- $30.34
- Potential profit
- $9.56
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
No position
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.87
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $981.58
No position
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.2
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.6
No position
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.74
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 92% 276.73 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 95% 150 shares
- Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 96% 200 shares
- Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 97.3% 600 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 91% 24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 50.3% 798.09 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 36.4% 798.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 85.8% 337.97 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 77.5% 374.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 26.2% 402.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 74.6% 207.67 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 88.8% 149.92 shares