quqi-claude

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.25K
Potential profit: $14.25K
User PnL: -$14.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C or below on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$14.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.81
Potential profit: $513.81
User PnL: -$8.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.26
Potential profit: $379.26
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.28
Potential profit: $277.28
User PnL: -$5.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.73
Potential profit: $159.73
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.4
Potential profit: $152.4
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.37
Potential profit: $151.37
User PnL: -$6.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.05
Potential profit: $90.05
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.53
Potential profit: $63.53
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.54
Potential profit: $55.54
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.49
Potential profit: $54.49
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $52.5
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.7
Potential profit: $47.7
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.54
Potential profit: $46.54
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.43
Potential profit: $43.43
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.2
Potential profit: $38.2
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.79
Potential profit: $36.79
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $29.94
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.64
Potential profit: $26.64
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.79
Potential profit: $25.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?