Polymarket Trader

monkeyballs1337

0x2f736901da77bfc32e637e87d47ba8eb294396f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $161.06
Realized PnL: $647.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $296.82
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.79

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.53
Potential payout: $121.32
Potential profit: $109.8
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.47

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $80.04
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $57.02
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $30.7
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.08
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.92
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $70.86
Potential profit: $70.54
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $60.33
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $60.9
Potential profit: $50.85
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $54.15
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $58.48
Potential profit: $45.06
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $47.91
Potential profit: $44.31
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.41

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $40.71
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.39
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $24.88
Potential profit: $18.29
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $21.83
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.44

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $17.6
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$3.42

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.11

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.19

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $26.79

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.84

Yes position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.23

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.17

Yes position

Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.71

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $16.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.31

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 76% 34.48 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 65% 23.08 shares
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Yes 57.1% 27.02 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

No 22% 18.18 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 14% 35.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 88% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 5% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 57% 87.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 54% 46.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 55% 9.09 shares