Polymarket Trader

0x2f77...4b79

0x2f7733d410c61115b3bfe31e3345251148d64b79

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $560.47
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.75
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$49.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $140.24
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $103.66
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $40.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $38.99
Potential payout: $210.75
Potential profit: $171.76
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $104.39
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $71.05
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $163.26
Potential profit: $163.02
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$49.76

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $104.06
Potential profit: $102.03
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $58.81
Potential payout: $63.58
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $44.7
Potential payout: $44.95
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $39.79
Potential payout: $42.9
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $32.93
Potential payout: $34.79
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $30.54
Potential payout: $31.23
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $13.36
Potential payout: $13.49
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $102.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 19?

Yes 30.6% 163.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?

Yes 23.7% 210.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 16.2% 112.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 40.7% 112.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 39.5% 29.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 83.2% 243.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 38.5% 29.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

Yes 20% 250 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 3.59 shares
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?

No 97.8% 10.61 shares