Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.11
- Potential profit
- $248.11
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
tYdfqhA
0x2f793b296b7a9fd37ad68bdca54e2858bf23f250
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.24
- Realized PnL
- $215.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $106.61
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $108.84
- Potential profit
- $107.05
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.89
- Potential profit
- $60.89
- User PnL
- -$27.4
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.01
- Potential profit
- $30.01
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Japan recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $21.07
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $23.13
- Potential profit
- $14.22
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.29
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $12.36
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.6%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $8.98
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 3.07x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8.96
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $8.46
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Slovakia position
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Imavov position
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No 63% 3.17 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?No 22.3% 8.98 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.5% 8.96 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.2% 15.63 shares
- Japan recession in 2026?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?No 14% 10.41 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 10% 30 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?No 48% 10.42 shares