Polymarket Trader

Ashurnasirpal

0x2f7e1730cf40ff92e95a3c43323a3fe95fabd49b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $209.74
Realized PnL: $39.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $148.8
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$1.11K

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $28.31
Potential payout: $246.15
Potential profit: $217.84
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$17.58

Yes position

Haiti elections delayed again?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $27.64
Potential payout: $37.86
Potential profit: $10.22
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $692.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $686.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 19% 497.04 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 39% 615.38 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 39% 378.7 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Under 78% 303.69 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5

Under 67% 355.24 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Under 78% 493.82 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 96% 463.76 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 579.71 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 62% 624.99 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 22% 6.39 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 22% 11.5 shares