Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x2fC3f0A14c22e990A4243812bAa35214D9e46f24-1765298440100
@realEricByrd
0x2fc3f0a14c22e990a4243812baa35214d9e46f24
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.5
- Realized PnL
- $250.03
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $623.66
- Potential profit
- $623.66
- User PnL
- -$11.48
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.64
- Potential profit
- $306.64
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.02
- Potential profit
- $271.02
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173
- Potential profit
- $173
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164
- Potential profit
- $164
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.06
- Potential profit
- $122.06
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $109.99
- User PnL
- -$34.6
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $94.33
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $95
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.22
- Potential profit
- $76.22
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.29
- Potential profit
- $72.29
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.91
- Potential profit
- $65.91
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.3
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Down position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200–205 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 20% 30 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 5.7% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 34% 30 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 93.8% 10 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.6% 30 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 10.2% 100 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.3% 30 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 50 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 5% 100 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 88% 10 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?Yes 22% 50 shares