No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Polymarket Trader
lastwag
0x2fd29138b1cad3df767bbdf6c7a42596d3505997
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $217.72
- Realized PnL
- $268.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
No position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.7%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $10.89
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
No position
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.51
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.46
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $10.43
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $10.39
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $10.03
- Potential payout
- $10.3
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $10.28
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
N
No position
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be greater than $28B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $5.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
No position
Will Trump post "CNN Fake News" or "Fake News CNN" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.03
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bending Spoons' market cap be greater than $28B at market close on IPO day?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?No 96.9% 10.32 shares
- Will Aurora make a roster change before July?No 97% 10.3 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 89.4% 11.18 shares
- Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No 96.8% 10.33 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No 96.2% 10.39 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?No 96.7% 10.34 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 91% 10.98 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No 87% 11.49 shares