Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Shepe
0x2fd4103779359fb063e5ede36dd7aebd5f635127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $485.25
- Realized PnL
- $3.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $49.64
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$150.36
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $327.99
- Potential payout
- $446.25
- Potential profit
- $118.26
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$72.01
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $388.6
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $331.17
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$17.83
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $231.93
- Potential profit
- $229.84
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $160.36
- Potential profit
- $159.32
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.62
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $81.31
- Potential profit
- $56.1
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $31.29
- Potential payout
- $77.25
- Potential profit
- $45.96
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.25
- Potential profit
- $76.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $22.18
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $31.61
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.1%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $29.02
- Potential profit
- $20.88
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $615.13
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.31
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.51
Yes position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.85
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $179.13
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.99
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.47
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.76
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.23
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111
Yes position
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $64.9
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.76x
- User PnL
- $59.03
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $47.94
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.56
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $44.08
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.67
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $41.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.74
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.37
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $31.61
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 30.5% 29.02 shares
- GTA VI released before November 2026?Yes 12.1% 824.52 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 55.4% 158.73 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 63% 158.73 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.1% 663.4 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 20.2% 557.96 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.5% 198.15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 17.5% 358.23 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Yes 30.8% 32.47 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 10.9% 916.19 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.8% 1,723.1 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 25.4% 85.1 shares