Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$598
Polymarket Trader
0x2fD6e8a121C0713CF067292AC0b24633DBf99f56-1723530921306
0x2fd6e8a121c0713cf067292ac0b24633dbf99f56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $852.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $697.3
- Potential payout
- $697.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $348.65
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.42
- Potential profit
- $209.42
- User PnL
- -$104.71
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $155.45
- Potential payout
- $164.24
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.86
- Potential profit
- $160.86
- User PnL
- -$82.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.73
- Potential profit
- $154.73
- User PnL
- -$78.91
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.12
- Potential profit
- $150.12
- User PnL
- -$77.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.69
- Potential profit
- $104.69
- User PnL
- -$53.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.48
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.63
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2AM ET
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.58
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6AM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.68
Up position
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.51
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.37
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Hawaii Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 50% 59.34 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 50% 62 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown 50% 129.78 shares
- Solana Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 50% 201.6 shares
- Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes 40.7% 14 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 63% 1,169 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp 50% 180.15 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ETUp 51% 143.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6AM ETUp 51% 160.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ETDown 51% 154.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2AM ETUp 51% 154.24 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6AM ETUp 52% 61.73 shares