Polymarket Trader

nikolaus90

0x2fdff25a3edfbcf0bc62188187a53e245a916b49

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $891.97
Realized PnL: $10
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $217.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.39
Potential profit: $699.39
User PnL: -$48.96

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$72

No position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.73

No position

US bank failure by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10

No position

Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $140.33
Potential payout: $140.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $107.14
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$24.35

No position

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

No 3.7% 800.61 shares
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Yes 40.6% 60 shares
US bank failure by December 31?

No 95% 200 shares
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

No 92% 27 shares
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 71% 200 shares
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?

No 98.7% 140.33 shares
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?

No 95.9% 63.58 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

No 7% 1,500 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 1,500 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Yes 93.3% 107.14 shares