bolovolo

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.25
Potential profit: $288.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $197.94
Potential payout: $244.36
Potential profit: $46.43
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.07

No position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $162.73
Potential payout: $196.06
Potential profit: $33.33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $62.74

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.86
Potential profit: $176.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.75
Potential profit: $176.75
User PnL: -$69.92

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $35.96
Potential payout: $175.42
Potential profit: $139.46
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$64.03

No position

Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $113.41
Potential payout: $169.27
Potential profit: $55.86
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $51.84

No position

Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $154.44
Potential profit: $152.67
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$85.06

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $79.19
Potential payout: $153.92
Potential profit: $74.73
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$20.81

Yes position

Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $17.57
Potential payout: $150.79
Potential profit: $133.22
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: -$24.65

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $126.38
Potential payout: $147.81
Potential profit: $21.43
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $26.37

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $51.61
Potential payout: $141.39
Potential profit: $89.78
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$48.39

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $100.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $32.67
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $6.97
Potential payout: $131.51
Potential profit: $124.54
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$18.89

No position

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $67.02
Potential payout: $130.14
Potential profit: $63.12
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$32.98

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.4
Potential profit: $124.4
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $110.96
Potential profit: $107.85
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $3.74
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.05

Lakers position

Cavaliers vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.32

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Suns

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.48

No position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.99

ThunderTalk Gaming position

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.33

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.79

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.85

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $28.53

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 70.7%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $24.34

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?