Polymarket Trader

0x2fEadED8d98850280992C7B63E67348EcEad2b78-1778707106445

0x2feaded8d98850280992c7b63e67348ecead2b78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $678.82
Realized PnL: $245.73
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $678.82
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.22K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$321.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.72
Potential profit: $749.72
User PnL: -$68.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.8
Potential profit: $627.8
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.93
Potential profit: $615.93
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.64
Potential profit: $483.64
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.62
Potential profit: $263.62
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.51
Potential profit: $195.51
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.1
Potential profit: $147.1
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.09
Potential profit: $138.09
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.23
Potential profit: $82.23
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.33
Potential profit: $42.33
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

paiN position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 16% 3,125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Up 1% 2,500 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 18% 2,777.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 10.7% 938.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 29% 345.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Down 37.9% 263.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 22.1% 113.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 74% 33.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Down 15.9% 627.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 30.4% 82.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Down 35.5% 70.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Up 66% 37.88 shares